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Original article Clinical endoscopy| Volume 88, ISSUE 2, P230-239.e2, August 2018

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Combination of albumin-bilirubin grade and platelets to predict a compensated patient with hepatocellular carcinoma who does not require endoscopic screening for esophageal varices

  • Ping-Hsien Chen
    Affiliations
    Endoscopy Center for Diagnosis and Treatment, Taipei Veterans General Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan

    Faculty of Medicine, School of Medicine National Yang-Ming University School, Taipei, Taiwan

    Institute of Biophotonics, National Yang-Ming University, Taipei, Taiwan
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  • Wei-Yao Hsieh
    Affiliations
    Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Medicine, Taipei Veterans General Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan
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  • Chien-Wei Su
    Correspondence
    Reprint requests: Chien-Wei Su, MD, PhD, Ming-Chih Hou, MD, No. 201, Sec 2, Shih-Pai Road, Taipei, Taiwan 11217.
    Affiliations
    Faculty of Medicine, School of Medicine National Yang-Ming University School, Taipei, Taiwan

    Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Medicine, Taipei Veterans General Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan
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  • Ming-Chih Hou
    Correspondence
    Reprint requests: Chien-Wei Su, MD, PhD, Ming-Chih Hou, MD, No. 201, Sec 2, Shih-Pai Road, Taipei, Taiwan 11217.
    Affiliations
    Endoscopy Center for Diagnosis and Treatment, Taipei Veterans General Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan

    Faculty of Medicine, School of Medicine National Yang-Ming University School, Taipei, Taiwan

    Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Medicine, Taipei Veterans General Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan
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  • Yen-Po Wang
    Affiliations
    Endoscopy Center for Diagnosis and Treatment, Taipei Veterans General Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan

    Faculty of Medicine, School of Medicine National Yang-Ming University School, Taipei, Taiwan
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  • I-Fang Hsin
    Affiliations
    Endoscopy Center for Diagnosis and Treatment, Taipei Veterans General Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan

    Faculty of Medicine, School of Medicine National Yang-Ming University School, Taipei, Taiwan
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  • Tsung-Chieh Yang
    Affiliations
    Faculty of Medicine, School of Medicine National Yang-Ming University School, Taipei, Taiwan

    Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Medicine, Taipei Veterans General Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan
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  • Wei-Chih Liao
    Affiliations
    Faculty of Medicine, School of Medicine National Yang-Ming University School, Taipei, Taiwan

    Taipei Municipal Gan-Dau Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan
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  • Han-Chieh Lin
    Affiliations
    Faculty of Medicine, School of Medicine National Yang-Ming University School, Taipei, Taiwan

    Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Medicine, Taipei Veterans General Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan
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  • Fa-Yauh Lee
    Affiliations
    Faculty of Medicine, School of Medicine National Yang-Ming University School, Taipei, Taiwan

    Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Medicine, Taipei Veterans General Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan
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  • Jaw-Ching Wu
    Affiliations
    Institute of Clinical Medicine, School of Medicine, National Yang-Ming University, Taipei, Taiwan

    Division of Translational Research, Department of Medical Research, Taipei Veterans General Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan
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Published:January 06, 2018DOI:https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gie.2017.12.023

      Backgrounds and Aims

      There is no consensus on screening for high-risk esophageal varices (HRV) in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Here, we aimed to investigate the prevalence and risk factors of HRV in patients with HCC and to assess the combination of albumin-bilirubin grade and platelet count (ALBI-PLT score) for predicting compensated patients who do not need unnecessary endoscopic screening for HRV.

      Methods

      The ALBI-PLT score was calculated by adding the ALBI grade and points for platelet count (1 point if platelet count >150,000/mm3 and 2 points if ≤150,000/mm3). The predictive value of the ALBI-PLT score for HRV was analyzed in 887 compensated patients enrolled from October 2007 to April 2014 (study cohort). This was validated in 215 compensated patients from May 2014 to December 2015 (validation cohort).

      Results

      In the study cohort, the rates of HRV were 2.9% and 21.1% in compensated HCC patients with an ALBI-PLT score of 2 and >2, respectively. The negative predictive values of the ALBI-PLT score for predicting HRV were 97.1% and 98.1% in the study and validation cohorts, respectively. For compensated patients who did not receive endoscopic screening at the time of HCC diagnosis, the 5-year cumulative variceal hemorrhage rate was lower in patients with an ALBI-PLT score of 2 than in those with an ALBI-PLT score >2 (1.7% vs 9.1%, P = .007).

      Conclusion

      In patients with HCC with compensated liver function, an ALBI-PLT score of 2 predicted a very low risk of HRV and variceal hemorrhage; therefore, endoscopic screening for esophageal varices is not recommended for these patients.

      Abbreviation:

      ALBI (albumin-bilirubin), ALBI-PLT score (albumin-bilirubin grade and platelet count), BCLC (Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer), CTP (Child-Turcotte-Pugh), HBV (hepatitis B virus), HCC (hepatocellular carcinoma), HCV (hepatitis C virus), HRV (high-risk esophageal varices), HVPG (hepatic venous pressure gradient), NPV (negative predictive value), PPV (positive predictive value)
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      Linked Article

      • Screening for esophageal varices in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma
        Gastrointestinal EndoscopyVol. 88Issue 2
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          Esophageal varices are identified in 10% to 40% of all patients with cirrhosis. Generally, they are most likely to be large and high risk in patients with advanced liver disease. Furthermore, the more severe portal hypertension is, the more likely are large varices to present. Several specific tests and systems have been developed with which to predict large varices, high-risk varices, or both. For example, platelet count, various blood tests and markers, spleen size, liver stiffness, spleen stiffness, and other measures have all been used.
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